Current Rep - Mike Shirkey (R-Columbia Twp?)
Candidates:
GOP - Mike Shirkey (R-Clarklake)
Dem - Bonnie Johnson (D-Jackson)
Update 5-26-2012 - Shirkey has an easier district (slightly) than last time, but he's got a primary and general to contend with this time. I don't know much about the dems running here, but Shirkey's going to have to work. I know this and the 64th fairly well from my 2nd Amendment work. Nothing comes easy there for pols. It's a humbling independent district that reminds me of up north. Keep an eye on this one. This and the 64th are bellwethers.
Update 7-15-2012 - I remembered that Dan Fulara is a RINO. My definition of RINO is not a liberal republican, but a democrat. Fulara supported Barack Obama in 2008. I hope Mike Shirkey whips his ass.
Update 8-30-2012 - Obama loving Fulara got taken out. He also had some campaign finance violations to take care of last I saw. Good riddance. Bonnie Johnson won the dems primary.
Old District (65th)
Mike Shirkey - 17,889
Janet D Rochefort - 10,405
Don't let the 2010 results fool you. This district in the heart of old free soil country flipped twice in the last decade. The district mirrors the old district with the exception of Eaton Township as new territory. It was an Obama district, but now a McCain one by 117 votes. The late Mike Simpson won with a much bigger margin than that for the dems when he was the rep. He was an exceptional candidate for the district which was held by a Republican before and after Simpson. If the dems find another Simpson type of candidate, they have a good chance. This is a populist person over party district I'm well familiar with. I expect a tough challenge here, like in the 64th district. Here, there are no strong anchors for the democrats outside arguably Leoni and Waterloo Townships. However if they do well in Leoni, Blackman, Hamlim, Waterloo, and Eaton Rapids, they have a good roadmap to win. Republican need to win at least one or preferably two of those to have a good chance to win, but they have more room for error with most of the other small rural areas theirs to lose.
On paper, this district leans Republican. In reality, I'd call it a very slight lean at best as Simpson proved it can be won. Don't take this one lightly. The folks here don't care much for politicians in general.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Eaton County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Brookfield Twp | 414 | 356 | 770 | 58 | 53.77% | 46.23% | 7.53% |
| Eaton Rapids | 1024 | 1257 | 2281 | -233 | 44.89% | 55.11% | -10.21% |
| Eaton Township | 1228 | 1090 | 2318 | 138 | 52.98% | 47.02% | 5.95% |
| Hamlin Twp | 835 | 909 | 1744 | -74 | 47.88% | 52.12% | -4.24% |
| Jackson County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Blackman Twp | 3646 | 4204 | 7850 | -558 | 46.45% | 53.55% | -7.11% |
| Columbia Twp | 2265 | 2011 | 4276 | 254 | 52.97% | 47.03% | 5.94% |
| Grass Lake Twp | 1659 | 1430 | 3089 | 229 | 53.71% | 46.29% | 7.41% |
| Henrietta Twp | 1161 | 1153 | 2314 | 8 | 50.17% | 49.83% | 0.35% |
| Leoni Twp | 2930 | 3387 | 6317 | -457 | 46.38% | 53.62% | -7.23% |
| Liberty Twp | 1015 | 713 | 1728 | 302 | 58.74% | 41.26% | 17.48% |
| Norvell Twp | 887 | 815 | 1702 | 72 | 52.12% | 47.88% | 4.23% |
| Rives Twp | 1317 | 1005 | 2322 | 312 | 56.72% | 43.28% | 13.44% |
| Springport Twp | 551 | 425 | 976 | 126 | 56.45% | 43.55% | 12.91% |
| Tompkins Twp | 710 | 631 | 1341 | 79 | 52.95% | 47.05% | 5.89% |
| Waterloo Twp | 650 | 787 | 1437 | -137 | 45.23% | 54.77% | -9.53% |
| Cambridge (Lenawee) | 1636 | 1638 | 3274 | -2 | 49.97% | 50.03% | -0.06% |
| Total | 21928 | 21811 | 43739 | 117 | 50.13% | 49.87% | 0.27% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Eaton County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Brookfield Twp | 427 | 268 | 695 | 159 | 61.44% | 38.56% | 22.88% |
| Eaton Rapids | 1213 | 1053 | 2266 | 160 | 53.53% | 46.47% | 7.06% |
| Eaton Township | 1455 | 868 | 2323 | 587 | 62.63% | 37.37% | 25.27% |
| Hamlin Twp | 925 | 694 | 1619 | 231 | 57.13% | 42.87% | 14.27% |
| Jackson County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Blackman Twp | 4258 | 3454 | 7712 | 804 | 55.21% | 44.79% | 10.43% |
| Columbia Twp | 2532 | 1693 | 4225 | 839 | 59.93% | 40.07% | 19.86% |
| Grass Lake Twp | 1684 | 1132 | 2816 | 552 | 59.80% | 40.20% | 19.60% |
| Henrietta Twp | 1196 | 952 | 2148 | 244 | 55.68% | 44.32% | 11.36% |
| Leoni Twp | 3216 | 2971 | 6187 | 245 | 51.98% | 48.02% | 3.96% |
| Liberty Twp | 1106 | 610 | 1716 | 496 | 64.45% | 35.55% | 28.90% |
| Norvell Twp | 962 | 774 | 1736 | 188 | 55.41% | 44.59% | 10.83% |
| Rives Twp | 1464 | 809 | 2273 | 655 | 64.41% | 35.59% | 28.82% |
| Springport Twp | 577 | 332 | 909 | 245 | 63.48% | 36.52% | 26.95% |
| Tompkins Twp | 772 | 537 | 1309 | 235 | 58.98% | 41.02% | 17.95% |
| Waterloo Twp | 771 | 701 | 1472 | 70 | 52.38% | 47.62% | 4.76% |
| Cambridge (Lenawee) | 1813 | 1404 | 3217 | 409 | 56.36% | 43.64% | 12.71% |
| Total | 24371 | 18252 | 42623 | 6119 | 57.18% | 42.82% | 14.36% |
| Last St House | GOP | DEM | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Eaton County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Brookfield Twp | 344 | 195 | 539 | 149 | 63.82% | 36.18% | 27.64% |
| Eaton Rapids | 943 | 573 | 1516 | 370 | 62.20% | 37.80% | 24.41% |
| Eaton Township | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Hamlin Twp | 790 | 491 | 1281 | 299 | 61.67% | 38.33% | 23.34% |
| Jackson County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Blackman Twp | 2988 | 1919 | 4907 | 1069 | 60.89% | 39.11% | 21.79% |
| Columbia Twp | 2084 | 1021 | 3105 | 1063 | 67.12% | 32.88% | 34.24% |
| Grass Lake Twp | 1507 | 749 | 2256 | 758 | 66.80% | 33.20% | 33.60% |
| Henrietta Twp | 923 | 628 | 1551 | 295 | 59.51% | 40.49% | 19.02% |
| Leoni Twp | 2452 | 1731 | 4183 | 721 | 58.62% | 41.38% | 17.24% |
| Liberty Twp | 898 | 355 | 1253 | 543 | 71.67% | 28.33% | 43.34% |
| Norvell Twp | 784 | 432 | 1216 | 352 | 64.47% | 35.53% | 28.95% |
| Rives Twp | 1118 | 505 | 1623 | 613 | 68.88% | 31.12% | 37.77% |
| Springport Twp | 429 | 176 | 605 | 253 | 70.91% | 29.09% | 41.82% |
| Tompkins Twp | 600 | 378 | 978 | 222 | 61.35% | 38.65% | 22.70% |
| Waterloo Twp | 529 | 408 | 937 | 121 | 56.46% | 43.54% | 12.91% |
| Cambridge (Lenawee) | 1500 | 844 | 2344 | 656 | 63.99% | 36.01% | 27.99% |
| Total | 17889 | 10405 | 28294 | 7484 | 63.23% | 36.77% | 26.45% |
0 comments:
Post a Comment