Current Rep - Mark Ouimet (R-Scio Township)
Candidates:
GOP - Mark Ouimet (R-Scio Twp)
Dem - Gretchen Driskell (D-Saline)
Update 5-26-2012 - No primary here, but the general election is going to make up for it. The dems want this district back, and Driskell's a mayor of Saline. Saline was a key area for Ouimet last time. Tough matchup from that standpoint. However, Ouimet has no Ann Arbor, no A2 Twp, and picks up Salem and Saline Township (separate from the city), which are favorable for Ouimet. I'd call it a slight advantage for Ouimet, but it won't be easy for him.
2010 Results - Old District (52nd)
Mark Ouimet - 21,879
Christine Green - 20,287
The big redistricting winner this cycle is Mark Ouimet, who won a democrat district in what I think was an upset. This district was democrat for three terms from the 04 election to the 08 elections. Pam Byrnes. Gene DeRossett got a lot of union crossovers in the 02 election, but he was a quasi-incumbent. The old district was I believe about 55% for John Kerry, and about 60% for Obama. Snyder on the ballot helped here. Even so, I'm real surprised that he defeated a female democrat in a district that contains Northern Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor Township, AND Scio Township.
The district added Republican Salem and Saline Townships, while contracting the portion of the City of Ann Arbor in the district, as well as Ann Arbor Township. That changes the district from one that leaned democrat to one more winnable. Nothing comes easy in Washtenaw County, especially a district that still has Scio Township and Chelsea. One thing to keep in mind with these numbers is that Dexter Township is not to be confused with the Village of Dexter. The village is mostly in Scio Township.
Overall, I'll consider it competitive with a very slight GOP advantage for Ouimet, although still difficult to defend. Even without the worst parts of the old district, this is hardly a safe district.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Bridgewater Twp | 526 | 481 | 1007 | 45 | 52.23% | 47.77% | 4.47% |
| Chelsea | 1214 | 1748 | 2962 | -534 | 40.99% | 59.01% | -18.03% |
| Dexter Twp | 1730 | 2064 | 3794 | -334 | 45.60% | 54.40% | -8.80% |
| Freedom Twp | 481 | 428 | 909 | 53 | 52.92% | 47.08% | 5.83% |
| Lima Twp | 973 | 973 | 1946 | 0 | 50.00% | 50.00% | 0.00% |
| Lodi Twp | 1894 | 1803 | 3697 | 91 | 51.23% | 48.77% | 2.46% |
| Lyndon Twp | 735 | 843 | 1578 | -108 | 46.58% | 53.42% | -6.84% |
| Manchester Twp | 1241 | 1424 | 2665 | -183 | 46.57% | 53.43% | -6.87% |
| Northfield Twp | 2109 | 2310 | 4419 | -201 | 47.73% | 52.27% | -4.55% |
| Salem Twp | 2067 | 1510 | 3577 | 557 | 57.79% | 42.21% | 15.57% |
| Saline | 2221 | 2906 | 5127 | -685 | 43.32% | 56.68% | -13.36% |
| Saline Twp | 539 | 507 | 1046 | 32 | 51.53% | 48.47% | 3.06% |
| Scio Twp | 3772 | 7709 | 11481 | -3937 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -34.29% |
| Sharon Twp | 556 | 503 | 1059 | 53 | 52.50% | 47.50% | 5.00% |
| Sylvan Twp | 919 | 996 | 1915 | -77 | 47.99% | 52.01% | -4.02% |
| Webster Twp | 1911 | 2186 | 4097 | -275 | 46.64% | 53.36% | -6.71% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 22888 | 28391 | 51279 | -5503 | 44.63% | 55.37% | -10.73% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Bridgewater Twp | 550 | 352 | 902 | 198 | 60.98% | 39.02% | 21.95% |
| Chelsea | 1300 | 1490 | 2790 | -190 | 46.59% | 53.41% | -6.81% |
| Dexter Twp | 1909 | 1672 | 3581 | 237 | 53.31% | 46.69% | 6.62% |
| Freedom Twp | 481 | 405 | 886 | 76 | 54.29% | 45.71% | 8.58% |
| Lima Twp | 926 | 709 | 1635 | 217 | 56.64% | 43.36% | 13.27% |
| Lodi Twp | 2104 | 1519 | 3623 | 585 | 58.07% | 41.93% | 16.15% |
| Lyndon Twp | 812 | 718 | 1530 | 94 | 53.07% | 46.93% | 6.14% |
| Manchester Twp | 1299 | 1168 | 2467 | 131 | 52.66% | 47.34% | 5.31% |
| Northfield Twp | 2352 | 2027 | 4379 | 325 | 53.71% | 46.29% | 7.42% |
| Salem Twp | 2130 | 1330 | 3460 | 800 | 61.56% | 38.44% | 23.12% |
| Saline | 2656 | 2418 | 5074 | 238 | 52.35% | 47.65% | 4.69% |
| Saline Twp | 612 | 464 | 1076 | 148 | 56.88% | 43.12% | 13.75% |
| Scio Twp | 4244 | 6262 | 10506 | -2018 | 40.40% | 59.60% | -19.21% |
| Sharon Twp | 630 | 440 | 1070 | 190 | 58.88% | 41.12% | 17.76% |
| Sylvan Twp | 983 | 819 | 1802 | 164 | 54.55% | 45.45% | 9.10% |
| Webster Twp | 2097 | 1707 | 3804 | 390 | 55.13% | 44.87% | 10.25% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 25085 | 23500 | 48585 | 1585 | 51.63% | 48.37% | 3.26% |
| Last St House | GOP | DEM | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Bridgewater Twp | 464 | 242 | 706 | 222 | 65.72% | 34.28% | 31.44% |
| Chelsea | 1147 | 989 | 2136 | 158 | 53.70% | 46.30% | 7.40% |
| Dexter Twp | 1689 | 1107 | 2796 | 582 | 60.41% | 39.59% | 20.82% |
| Freedom Twp | 432 | 257 | 689 | 175 | 62.70% | 37.30% | 25.40% |
| Lima Twp | 936 | 624 | 1560 | 312 | 60.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% |
| Lodi Twp | 1738 | 1019 | 2757 | 719 | 63.04% | 36.96% | 26.08% |
| Lyndon Twp | 666 | 482 | 1148 | 184 | 58.01% | 41.99% | 16.03% |
| Manchester Twp | 1122 | 787 | 1909 | 335 | 58.77% | 41.23% | 17.55% |
| Northfield Twp | 1775 | 1157 | 2932 | 618 | 60.54% | 39.46% | 21.08% |
| Salem Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Saline | 1936 | 1533 | 3469 | 403 | 55.81% | 44.19% | 11.62% |
| Saline Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Scio Twp | 3705 | 4524 | 8229 | -819 | 45.02% | 54.98% | -9.95% |
| Sharon Twp | 540 | 300 | 840 | 240 | 64.29% | 35.71% | 28.57% |
| Sylvan Twp | 883 | 535 | 1418 | 348 | 62.27% | 37.73% | 24.54% |
| Webster Twp | 1852 | 1267 | 3119 | 585 | 59.38% | 40.62% | 18.76% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 18885 | 14823 | 33708 | 4062 | 56.03% | 43.97% | 12.05% |
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