Current Rep -Joseph Graves (R-Linden)
Candidates:
GOP - Joseph Graves (R-Linden),
Dem - Steven Losey (D-Linden),
Update 5-26-2012 - Joseph Graves is the incumbent due to his win in the Feb 28th special election to replace the recalled Paul Scott. Graves had 10,290 to Losey's 8,173. Graves and Losey are running again as both are in the new district. A rematch is likely, but both need to get past their primaries first.
Update 8-30-2012 - Graves and Losey get their rematch
2010 Results - Old District (51st)
Paul Scott - 22,509
Art Reyes - 15,275
This district is a big different than the old 51st. It expanded into Oakland County. The old district stayed in Genesee County and covered Argentine Twp, Atlas Twp, Fenton, Grand Blanc, Linden, and Mundy Twp.
The new district drops competitive Grand Blanc and democrat leaning Mundy Twp. It picks up the swing areas of Gaines Twp and Flushing Twp. It also picks up from Oakland County, Holly (swing), Rose (GOP), and Groveland Twps (GOP).
For the "last state house" numbers, I'm going to wait until the Feb 28th recall replacement election happens, because it will be the first numbers for Graves/Losey. The new district should lean republican, as even McCain won it. The old district was competitive, but the GOP with Roberston who took the district from the democrats in 2002. He was able to hang on to it three times. Paul Scott won it twice, but got recalled in a narrow vote when the MEA went to war. This is a new district however, and one that I think favors us.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Genesee County | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Argentine Twp | 1845 | 1791 | 3636 | 54 | 50.74% | 49.26% | 1.49% |
| Atlas Twp | 2481 | 2129 | 4610 | 352 | 53.82% | 46.18% | 7.64% |
| Clayton Twp | 2035 | 2385 | 4420 | -350 | 46.04% | 53.96% | -7.92% |
| Fenton | 2709 | 3129 | 5838 | -420 | 46.40% | 53.60% | -7.19% |
| Fenton Twp | 4847 | 4111 | 8958 | 736 | 54.11% | 45.89% | 8.22% |
| Flushing Twp | 2327 | 2719 | 5046 | -392 | 46.12% | 53.88% | -7.77% |
| Gaines Twp | 1790 | 2078 | 3868 | -288 | 46.28% | 53.72% | -7.45% |
| Linden | 1143 | 1082 | 2225 | 61 | 51.37% | 48.63% | 2.74% |
| Oakland County | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Groveland Twp | 1769 | 1275 | 3044 | 494 | 58.11% | 41.89% | 16.23% |
| Holly Twp | 2678 | 2969 | 5647 | -291 | 47.42% | 52.58% | -5.15% |
| Rose Twp | 1936 | 1573 | 3509 | 363 | 55.17% | 44.83% | 10.34% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 25560 | 25241 | 50801 | 319 | 50.31% | 49.69% | 0.63% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Genesee County | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Argentine Twp | 1981 | 1483 | 3464 | 498 | 57.19% | 42.81% | 14.38% |
| Atlas Twp | 2606 | 1704 | 4310 | 902 | 60.46% | 39.54% | 20.93% |
| Clayton Twp | 2162 | 2134 | 4296 | 28 | 50.33% | 49.67% | 0.65% |
| Fenton | 3026 | 2554 | 5580 | 472 | 54.23% | 45.77% | 8.46% |
| Fenton Twp | 5319 | 3570 | 8889 | 1749 | 59.84% | 40.16% | 19.68% |
| Flushing Twp | 3298 | 2849 | 6147 | 449 | 53.65% | 46.35% | 7.30% |
| Gaines Twp | 1905 | 1930 | 3835 | -25 | 49.67% | 50.33% | -0.65% |
| Linden | 1250 | 853 | 2103 | 397 | 59.44% | 40.56% | 18.88% |
| Oakland County | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Groveland Twp | 1988 | 1204 | 3192 | 784 | 62.28% | 37.72% | 24.56% |
| Holly Twp | 2813 | 2442 | 5255 | 371 | 53.53% | 46.47% | 7.06% |
| Rose Twp | 2139 | 1337 | 3476 | 802 | 61.54% | 38.46% | 23.07% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 28487 | 22060 | 50547 | 6427 | 56.36% | 43.64% | 12.71% |
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