Current Rep - Nancy Jenkins (R-Clayton)
Candidates:
GOP - Nancy Jenkins (R-Adrian)
Dem - Jim Berryman (D-Adrian), Harvey Schmidt (D-Tecumseh)
Update 5-26-2012 - Jenkins gets a fairly strong opponent, but not one quite on the level of the Spades. Harvey Schmidt wants a rematch. He is or was the mayor of Tecumseh. Jim Berryman is a former state senator who represented a Monroe/Lenawee seat. He was replaced by Bev Hammerstrom who was replaced by Randy Richardville. He's won in the past, but it was a long time ago. Both should be and are probably taken seriously.
Update 8-30-2012 - Berryman won the primary, although not my an overwhelming margin. This one will be on the radar to watch, as Berryman has won previously.
2010 Results - Old District (57th)
Nancy Jenkins - 16,660
Harvey Schmidt - 12,385
This district was unchanged. It covers all of Lenawee County outside of Cambridge Township. It's a social conservative swing district that votes for the person more than the party. Bush won it twice. Clinton and Obama both won it. It has been democrat for 12 years until the 2010 election. Doug and Dudley Spade were popular with crossover support. Nancy Jenkins won the open seat in 2010. Before the Spades, the state rep was now congressman Tim Walberg.
I expect competitive races here in the future, although Republicans overall tend to do better here than democrats if someone named Spade is not on the ticket. Tim Walberg had this district for either 16 or 18 years before being termed out. I'd still call it a swing district until Jenkins wins again.It's not our toughest defense, but it's not going to be an easy one either.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Adrian | 2684 | 5045 | 7729 | -2361 | 34.73% | 65.27% | -30.55% |
| Adrian Twp | 1798 | 1661 | 3459 | 137 | 51.98% | 48.02% | 3.96% |
| Blissfield Twp | 1075 | 972 | 2047 | 103 | 52.52% | 47.48% | 5.03% |
| Clinton Twp | 872 | 1021 | 1893 | -149 | 46.06% | 53.94% | -7.87% |
| Deerfield Twp | 379 | 377 | 756 | 2 | 50.13% | 49.87% | 0.26% |
| Dover Twp | 401 | 344 | 745 | 57 | 53.83% | 46.17% | 7.65% |
| Fairfield Twp | 407 | 429 | 836 | -22 | 48.68% | 51.32% | -2.63% |
| Franklin Twp | 810 | 758 | 1568 | 52 | 51.66% | 48.34% | 3.32% |
| Hudson | 422 | 471 | 893 | -49 | 47.26% | 52.74% | -5.49% |
| Hudson Twp | 375 | 370 | 745 | 5 | 50.34% | 49.66% | 0.67% |
| Macon Twp | 490 | 399 | 889 | 91 | 55.12% | 44.88% | 10.24% |
| Madison Twp | 1457 | 1598 | 3055 | -141 | 47.69% | 52.31% | -4.62% |
| Medina Twp | 294 | 202 | 496 | 92 | 59.27% | 40.73% | 18.55% |
| Morenci | 395 | 519 | 914 | -124 | 43.22% | 56.78% | -13.57% |
| Ogden Twp | 328 | 236 | 564 | 92 | 58.16% | 41.84% | 16.31% |
| Palmyra Twp | 545 | 550 | 1095 | -5 | 49.77% | 50.23% | -0.46% |
| Raisin Twp | 1894 | 2004 | 3898 | -110 | 48.59% | 51.41% | -2.82% |
| Ridgeway Twp | 411 | 344 | 755 | 67 | 54.44% | 45.56% | 8.87% |
| Riga Twp | 470 | 345 | 815 | 125 | 57.67% | 42.33% | 15.34% |
| Rollin Twp | 835 | 777 | 1612 | 58 | 51.80% | 48.20% | 3.60% |
| Rome Twp | 480 | 397 | 877 | 83 | 54.73% | 45.27% | 9.46% |
| Seneca Twp | 261 | 289 | 550 | -28 | 47.45% | 52.55% | -5.09% |
| Tecumseh | 2001 | 2571 | 4572 | -570 | 43.77% | 56.23% | -12.47% |
| Tecumseh Twp | 631 | 527 | 1158 | 104 | 54.49% | 45.51% | 8.98% |
| Woodstock Twp | 871 | 856 | 1727 | 15 | 50.43% | 49.57% | 0.87% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 20586 | 23062 | 43648 | -2476 | 47.16% | 52.84% | -5.67% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Adrian | 3525 | 4226 | 7751 | -701 | 45.48% | 54.52% | -9.04% |
| Adrian Twp | 2032 | 1342 | 3374 | 690 | 60.23% | 39.77% | 20.45% |
| Blissfield Twp | 1207 | 798 | 2005 | 409 | 60.20% | 39.80% | 20.40% |
| Clinton Twp | 984 | 836 | 1820 | 148 | 54.07% | 45.93% | 8.13% |
| Deerfield Twp | 411 | 347 | 758 | 64 | 54.22% | 45.78% | 8.44% |
| Dover Twp | 466 | 339 | 805 | 127 | 57.89% | 42.11% | 15.78% |
| Fairfield Twp | 456 | 355 | 811 | 101 | 56.23% | 43.77% | 12.45% |
| Franklin Twp | 892 | 657 | 1549 | 235 | 57.59% | 42.41% | 15.17% |
| Hudson | 524 | 367 | 891 | 157 | 58.81% | 41.19% | 17.62% |
| Hudson Twp | 418 | 333 | 751 | 85 | 55.66% | 44.34% | 11.32% |
| Macon Twp | 525 | 311 | 836 | 214 | 62.80% | 37.20% | 25.60% |
| Madison Twp | 1624 | 1251 | 2875 | 373 | 56.49% | 43.51% | 12.97% |
| Medina Twp | 332 | 212 | 544 | 120 | 61.03% | 38.97% | 22.06% |
| Morenci | 542 | 423 | 965 | 119 | 56.17% | 43.83% | 12.33% |
| Ogden Twp | 363 | 201 | 564 | 162 | 64.36% | 35.64% | 28.72% |
| Palmyra Twp | 588 | 483 | 1071 | 105 | 54.90% | 45.10% | 9.80% |
| Raisin Twp | 2076 | 1655 | 3731 | 421 | 55.64% | 44.36% | 11.28% |
| Ridgeway Twp | 497 | 303 | 800 | 194 | 62.13% | 37.88% | 24.25% |
| Riga Twp | 508 | 284 | 792 | 224 | 64.14% | 35.86% | 28.28% |
| Rollin Twp | 941 | 683 | 1624 | 258 | 57.94% | 42.06% | 15.89% |
| Rome Twp | 551 | 348 | 899 | 203 | 61.29% | 38.71% | 22.58% |
| Seneca Twp | 331 | 240 | 571 | 91 | 57.97% | 42.03% | 15.94% |
| Tecumseh | 2410 | 2153 | 4563 | 257 | 52.82% | 47.18% | 5.63% |
| Tecumseh Twp | 689 | 481 | 1170 | 208 | 58.89% | 41.11% | 17.78% |
| Woodstock Twp | 970 | 755 | 1725 | 215 | 56.23% | 43.77% | 12.46% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 23862 | 19383 | 43245 | 4479 | 55.18% | 44.82% | 10.36% |
| Last St Rep | GOP | Dem | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Adrian | 2207 | 2382 | 4589 | -175 | 48.09% | 51.91% | -3.81% |
| Adrian Twp | 1512 | 886 | 2398 | 626 | 63.05% | 36.95% | 26.11% |
| Blissfield Twp | 864 | 519 | 1383 | 345 | 62.47% | 37.53% | 24.95% |
| Clinton Twp | 664 | 608 | 1272 | 56 | 52.20% | 47.80% | 4.40% |
| Deerfield Twp | 289 | 191 | 480 | 98 | 60.21% | 39.79% | 20.42% |
| Dover Twp | 372 | 136 | 508 | 236 | 73.23% | 26.77% | 46.46% |
| Fairfield Twp | 371 | 185 | 556 | 186 | 66.73% | 33.27% | 33.45% |
| Franklin Twp | 645 | 463 | 1108 | 182 | 58.21% | 41.79% | 16.43% |
| Hudson | 408 | 186 | 594 | 222 | 68.69% | 31.31% | 37.37% |
| Hudson Twp | 347 | 194 | 541 | 153 | 64.14% | 35.86% | 28.28% |
| Macon Twp | 398 | 213 | 611 | 185 | 65.14% | 34.86% | 30.28% |
| Madison Twp | 1234 | 775 | 2009 | 459 | 61.42% | 38.58% | 22.85% |
| Medina Twp | 231 | 95 | 326 | 136 | 70.86% | 29.14% | 41.72% |
| Morenci | 318 | 219 | 537 | 99 | 59.22% | 40.78% | 18.44% |
| Ogden Twp | 265 | 117 | 382 | 148 | 69.37% | 30.63% | 38.74% |
| Palmyra Twp | 462 | 267 | 729 | 195 | 63.37% | 36.63% | 26.75% |
| Raisin Twp | 1398 | 1195 | 2593 | 203 | 53.91% | 46.09% | 7.83% |
| Ridgeway Twp | 316 | 222 | 538 | 94 | 58.74% | 41.26% | 17.47% |
| Riga Twp | 356 | 159 | 515 | 197 | 69.13% | 30.87% | 38.25% |
| Rollin Twp | 793 | 394 | 1187 | 399 | 66.81% | 33.19% | 33.61% |
| Rome Twp | 429 | 174 | 603 | 255 | 71.14% | 28.86% | 42.29% |
| Seneca Twp | 239 | 125 | 364 | 114 | 65.66% | 34.34% | 31.32% |
| Tecumseh | 1350 | 1814 | 3164 | -464 | 42.67% | 57.33% | -14.66% |
| Tecumseh Twp | 486 | 381 | 867 | 105 | 56.06% | 43.94% | 12.11% |
| Woodstock Twp | 724 | 485 | 1209 | 239 | 59.88% | 40.12% | 19.77% |
| 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Total | 16678 | 12385 | 29063 | 4293 | 57.39% | 42.61% | 14.77% |
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