Current Rep - Al Pscholka (R-Lincoln Township)
Candidates:
GOP - Al Pscholka (R-Stevensville)
Dem - Jim Hahn (D-Stevensville)
Update 5-27-2012 - Turnout will be the difference in this district. I'm calling this almost safe. If we kept this in 08, we should keep it in 2012.
Update 8-30-2012 - Jim Hahn won the primary.
Old District (79th)
Al Pscholka - 17,293
Mary Brown - 8,761
I'll call this district almost safe. I can't call it safe because it's a 22% black district with Benton Harbor and Benton Township. It also has the GOP strongholds of Berrien County. This district has not been competitive downticket. The closest it has been was 6500 votes in 2008, with Obama on the ticket. The close calls for state rep have not been here as they were in the 78th district next door. On the other hand, Obama did better here than he did next door. If a democrat drives up the Benton Harbor votes and gets the same thing downticket while getting just enough crossovers, he can win. It just hasn't been done. That's why this district is almost safe. There's still bad potential to get caught looking if you're not careful.
The old and new districts here are almost the same. Sodus Township is dropped to the 78th district. Other than that, it's a battle of strongholds. Bainbridge, Lincoln, Coloma, and Royalton Townships lead the way for the GOP. St Joe leans heavily Republican, but not quite the same margins as in Lincoln Twp. Benton Harbor and Benton Township lead the way for the dems. They are mostly black and it shows in the election results. McCain won everywhere except the Bentons (and lost Watervliet by 6). He still lost the district, which shows how strongly democrat Benton Harbor is. That number is not a misprint.
This one should stay ours, but don't get caught looking.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Bainbridge Twp | 926 | 519 | 1445 | 407 | 64.08% | 35.92% | 28.17% |
| Benton Harbor | 94 | 4364 | 4458 | -4270 | 2.11% | 97.89% | -95.78% |
| Benton Twp | 1480 | 5108 | 6588 | -3628 | 22.47% | 77.53% | -55.07% |
| Bridgman | 625 | 555 | 1180 | 70 | 52.97% | 47.03% | 5.93% |
| Coloma | 412 | 327 | 739 | 85 | 55.75% | 44.25% | 11.50% |
| Coloma Twp | 1437 | 949 | 2386 | 488 | 60.23% | 39.77% | 20.45% |
| Hagar Twp | 992 | 805 | 1797 | 187 | 55.20% | 44.80% | 10.41% |
| Lake Twp | 943 | 715 | 1658 | 228 | 56.88% | 43.12% | 13.75% |
| Lincoln Twp | 5112 | 3165 | 8277 | 1947 | 61.76% | 38.24% | 23.52% |
| Royalton Twp | 1743 | 886 | 2629 | 857 | 66.30% | 33.70% | 32.60% |
| St Joseph | 2331 | 2253 | 4584 | 78 | 50.85% | 49.15% | 1.70% |
| St Joseph Twp | 3240 | 2975 | 6215 | 265 | 52.13% | 47.87% | 4.26% |
| Watervliet | 332 | 339 | 671 | -7 | 49.48% | 50.52% | -1.04% |
| Watervliet Twp | 751 | 589 | 1340 | 162 | 56.04% | 43.96% | 12.09% |
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| Total | 20418 | 23549 | 43967 | -3131 | 46.44% | 53.56% | -7.12% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Bainbridge Twp | 1016 | 394 | 1410 | 622 | 72.06% | 27.94% | 44.11% |
| Benton Harbor | 161 | 3600 | 3761 | -3439 | 4.28% | 95.72% | -91.44% |
| Benton Twp | 1739 | 4123 | 5862 | -2384 | 29.67% | 70.33% | -40.67% |
| Bridgman | 772 | 427 | 1199 | 345 | 64.39% | 35.61% | 28.77% |
| Coloma | 444 | 308 | 752 | 136 | 59.04% | 40.96% | 18.09% |
| Coloma Twp | 1573 | 829 | 2402 | 744 | 65.49% | 34.51% | 30.97% |
| Hagar Twp | 1146 | 671 | 1817 | 475 | 63.07% | 36.93% | 26.14% |
| Lake Twp | 1098 | 594 | 1692 | 504 | 64.89% | 35.11% | 29.79% |
| Lincoln Twp | 5646 | 2474 | 8120 | 3172 | 69.53% | 30.47% | 39.06% |
| Royalton Twp | 1717 | 661 | 2378 | 1056 | 72.20% | 27.80% | 44.41% |
| St Joseph | 2630 | 1865 | 4495 | 765 | 58.51% | 41.49% | 17.02% |
| St Joseph Twp | 3808 | 2326 | 6134 | 1482 | 62.08% | 37.92% | 24.16% |
| Watervliet | 418 | 270 | 688 | 148 | 60.76% | 39.24% | 21.51% |
| Watervliet Twp | 826 | 513 | 1339 | 313 | 61.69% | 38.31% | 23.38% |
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| Total | 22994 | 19055 | 42049 | 3939 | 54.68% | 45.32% | 9.37% |
| Last St House | GOP | DEM | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Bainbridge Twp | 716 | 151 | 867 | 565 | 82.58% | 17.42% | 65.17% |
| Benton Harbor | 95 | 1457 | 1552 | -1362 | 6.12% | 93.88% | -87.76% |
| Benton Twp | 1136 | 1908 | 3044 | -772 | 37.32% | 62.68% | -25.36% |
| Bridgman | 546 | 210 | 756 | 336 | 72.22% | 27.78% | 44.44% |
| Coloma | 336 | 117 | 453 | 219 | 74.17% | 25.83% | 48.34% |
| Coloma Twp | 1093 | 454 | 1547 | 639 | 70.65% | 29.35% | 41.31% |
| Hagar Twp | 795 | 355 | 1150 | 440 | 69.13% | 30.87% | 38.26% |
| Lake Twp | 766 | 244 | 1010 | 522 | 75.84% | 24.16% | 51.68% |
| Lincoln Twp | 4289 | 1032 | 5321 | 3257 | 80.61% | 19.39% | 61.21% |
| Royalton Twp | 1449 | 334 | 1783 | 1115 | 81.27% | 18.73% | 62.54% |
| St Joseph | 1981 | 872 | 2853 | 1109 | 69.44% | 30.56% | 38.87% |
| St Joseph Twp | 2822 | 1243 | 4065 | 1579 | 69.42% | 30.58% | 38.84% |
| Watervliet | 222 | 124 | 346 | 98 | 64.16% | 35.84% | 28.32% |
| Watervliet Twp | 583 | 189 | 772 | 394 | 75.52% | 24.48% | 51.04% |
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| Total | 16829 | 8690 | 25519 | 8139 | 65.95% | 34.05% | 31.89% |
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