Current Rep - Quasi Open, Andrea LaFontaine represented much of the district.
2010 Results - Old District (32nd)
Andrea LaFontaine - 16,101
Jennifer Haase - 14,354
Declared Candidates:
Rep - Andrea LaFontaine (R-Richmond)
Dem - Sheri Smith (D-Columbus)
Old District (33rd)
Ken Golke - 24,469
Andrew Prasiloski - 12,339
Old District (81st)
Jud Gilbert - 19,882
Carol Morrissette - 8,590
Update 8-30-2012 - LaFontaine took a lot of nasty shots in the primary from Shmina, who claimed among other things that she supported the pension tax. She did not so. Smina got his ass kicked in the primary, and I suspect his tone and attacks had a lot to do with it.
Redistricting wasn't kind to either Ken Golke (Ray Twp) or Andrea LaFontaine (Richmond). They were both placed in the same district (33rd). That makes this an open, or at least quasi-open district in a tough spot. LaFontaine's closer to the new district and represents much of the new district, but also represents in land area most of what is now the 33rd.
The old 32nd District covered Armada, Chesterfield, Lenox, and Richmond Townships. It also covered the cities of Memphis, Richmond, and New Baltimore. In St Clair County, it covered Columbus, Ira, Kimball, and Wales Twps.
The old 33rd District covered part of Clinton Township, Macomb Township, and Ray Township. Goike won them all big, but that seat is safely republican for almost any rep.
The old 81st district covered most of St Clair County outside of Port Huron and the portion covered in the 32nd district.
The new 32nd District covers New Baltimore and Chesterfield Twp in Macomb County. In St Clair County, it also covers Ira, Casco, Columbus, Kimball, Wales, Riley, Kenockee Townships, along with part of the City of Memphis.
It drops most of the Macomb County portion outside of New Baltimore and Chesterfield Twp to the 33rd. It picks up a couple of townships from Gilbert's district. The new district voted slightly for Obama. I hope that doesn't bite us later with the redistricters seemingly trying to avoid a rematch with Haase.
As I often said, nothing comes easy in Macomb County (same applies in St Clair County to a lesser extent). This is the epidomy of that. The dems took this seat in somewhat of an upset when it opened up in 2008. LaFontaine then defeated the incumbent Haase in the 2010 wave election. Those changes happened despite John McCain defeating Obama in the district. That's why even though on paper this district is slightly Republican leaning, I'm still calling it a swing district. LaFontaine showed her strength defeating an incumbent. Hasse showed strength in taking the open seat two years earlier. As such, I'm going to post the 2008 numbers as well as 2010 numbers of the new district (Hasse's win in 08 and LaFontaine's win in 2010).
I think our chances here will be determined by what the matchups will be among the candidates. Taking Richmond and Armada Twps out of this district makes me nervous.
| McCain | Obama | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Macomb County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Chesterfield Twp | 10019 | 11050 | 21069 | -1031 | 47.55% | 52.45% | -4.89% |
| New Baltimore | 3003 | 2971 | 5974 | 32 | 50.27% | 49.73% | 0.54% |
| St Clair County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Casco Twp | 1134 | 834 | 1968 | 300 | 57.62% | 42.38% | 15.24% |
| Columbus Twp | 1227 | 865 | 2092 | 362 | 58.65% | 41.35% | 17.30% |
| Ira Twp | 1310 | 1178 | 2488 | 132 | 52.65% | 47.35% | 5.31% |
| Kenockee Twp | 615 | 597 | 1212 | 18 | 50.74% | 49.26% | 1.49% |
| Kimball Twp | 1767 | 2198 | 3965 | -431 | 44.56% | 55.44% | -10.87% |
| Memphis | 93 | 77 | 170 | 16 | 54.71% | 45.29% | 9.41% |
| Riley Twp | 975 | 696 | 1671 | 279 | 58.35% | 41.65% | 16.70% |
| Wales Twp | 842 | 788 | 1630 | 54 | 51.66% | 48.34% | 3.31% |
| Total | 20985 | 21254 | 42239 | -269 | 49.68% | 50.32% | -0.64% |
| Bush | Kerry | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff | |
| Macomb County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Chesterfield Twp | 10533 | 8853 | 19386 | 1680 | 54.33% | 45.67% | 8.67% |
| New Baltimore | 3103 | 2440 | 5543 | 663 | 55.98% | 44.02% | 11.96% |
| St Clair County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Casco Twp | 1209 | 826 | 2035 | 383 | 59.41% | 40.59% | 18.82% |
| Columbus Twp | 1344 | 827 | 2171 | 517 | 61.91% | 38.09% | 23.81% |
| Ira Twp | 1483 | 1176 | 2659 | 307 | 55.77% | 44.23% | 11.55% |
| Kenockee Twp | 669 | 499 | 1168 | 170 | 57.28% | 42.72% | 14.55% |
| Kimball Twp | 1960 | 1938 | 3898 | 22 | 50.28% | 49.72% | 0.56% |
| Memphis | 104 | 64 | 168 | 40 | 61.90% | 38.10% | 23.81% |
| Riley Twp | 1008 | 610 | 1618 | 398 | 62.30% | 37.70% | 24.60% |
| Wales Twp | 894 | 647 | 1541 | 247 | 58.01% | 41.99% | 16.03% |
| Total | 22307 | 17880 | 40187 | 4427 | 55.51% | 44.49% | 11.02% |
| Last St House | GOP | DEM | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Macomb County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Chesterfield Twp | 6435 | 6172 | 12607 | 263 | 51.04% | 48.96% | 2.09% |
| New Baltimore | 1847 | 1850 | 3697 | -3 | 49.96% | 50.04% | -0.08% |
| St Clair County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Casco Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Columbus Twp | 895 | 473 | 1368 | 422 | 65.42% | 34.58% | 30.85% |
| Ira Twp | 868 | 593 | 1461 | 275 | 59.41% | 40.59% | 18.82% |
| Kenockee Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Kimball Twp | 1176 | 1257 | 2433 | -81 | 48.34% | 51.66% | -3.33% |
| Memphis | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Riley Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Wales Twp | 614 | 444 | 1058 | 170 | 58.03% | 41.97% | 16.07% |
| Total | 11835 | 10789 | 22624 | 1046 | 52.31% | 47.69% | 4.62% |
| 2008 St House | GOP | DEM | Total | Diff | GOP | DEM | Diff |
| Macomb County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Chesterfield Twp | 9143 | 10481 | 19624 | -1338 | 46.59% | 53.41% | -6.82% |
| New Baltimore | 2732 | 2954 | 5686 | -222 | 48.05% | 51.95% | -3.90% |
| St Clair County: | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Casco Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Columbus Twp | 1155 | 857 | 2012 | 298 | 57.41% | 42.59% | 14.81% |
| Ira Twp | 1213 | 1156 | 2369 | 57 | 51.20% | 48.80% | 2.41% |
| Kenockee Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Kimball Twp | 1772 | 2008 | 3780 | -236 | 46.88% | 53.12% | -6.24% |
| Memphis | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Riley Twp | 0 | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | ||
| Wales Twp | 811 | 747 | 1558 | 64 | 52.05% | 47.95% | 4.11% |
| Total | 16826 | 18203 | 35029 | -1377 | 48.03% | 51.97% | -3.93% |
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