Michigan's 15th District - Congress
Incumbent - John Dingell (D-Dearborn)
Years in office as of 2010 election - 55
Cook District Numbers - D+13
GOP Candidates - Rob Steele
Dem Candidate - John Dingell
Barone’s numbers
2008:
Obama - 66%
McCain - 32%
2004:
Kerry - 62%
Bush - 38%
2000
Gore - 60%
Bush - 38%
This district was created to combine two democrat incumbents at the time.Lynn Rivers represented Ann Arbor, Ypsilanti, and Western Wayne County. John Dingell represented southern Wayne County and Monroe County. The primary pitted two different styles of democrats. The populist labor friend of the auto industry which dominates suburban Wayne County, and the feminist, green, anti-gunner which dominates the Ann Arbor area. Dingell won, and showed that at then 76 years of age in 2002, he could still campaign with the best of them. Dingell's been in office for 55 years. He originally represented part of the City of Detroit. Now his district is based in part of Downriver.
This district covers all of Monroe County. It also covers in Washtenaw County - The City of Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor Township, Augusta Township, City of Milan, Pittsfield Township, part of Scio Township, Superior Township, York Township, the City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti Township. In Wayne County, it covers Brownstown Township, Part of Dearborn, Part of Dearborn Heights, Flat Rock, Huron Township, Inkster, Rockwood, Romulus, Sumpter Township, Taylor, and Woodhaven. Most of this area votes for democrats, although Monroe County, Augusta Twp, York Twp, Huron Twp, Flat Rock, and Woodhaven is sometimes competitive. It would take a 1994 type of year to win this district. John Engler did it though, possibly twice.
Here's Dingell's 2008 numbers.
| 2008 Elections | Lynch | Dingell | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| Monroe County | 27,428 | 45,890 | 2829 | 76,147 | -18462 | 36.02% | 60.27% | -24.25% |
| Washtenaw County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| City of Ann Arbor | 10,300 | 46,520 | 3275 | 60,095 | -36220 | 17.14% | 77.41% | -60.27% |
| Ann Arbor Township | 769 | 1,768 | 78 | 2,615 | -999 | 29.41% | 67.61% | -38.20% |
| Augusta Township | 1,127 | 2,104 | 177 | 3,408 | -977 | 33.07% | 61.74% | -28.67% |
| City of Milan | 678 | 1,118 | 100 | 1,896 | -440 | 35.76% | 58.97% | -23.21% |
| Pittsfield Township | 4,563 | 10,743 | 677 | 15,983 | -6180 | 28.55% | 67.22% | -38.67% |
| Scio Township (4) | 41 | 115 | 2 | 158 | -74 | 25.95% | 72.78% | -46.84% |
| Scio Township (7) | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0.00% | 100.00% | -100.00% | ||
| Scio Township (8) | 72 | 135 | 5 | 212 | -63 | 33.96% | 63.68% | -29.72% |
| Scio Township (9) | 5 | 22 | 4 | 31 | -17 | 16.13% | 70.97% | -54.84% |
| Superior Township | 1,848 | 4,790 | 247 | 6,885 | -2942 | 26.84% | 69.57% | -42.73% |
| York Township | 1,981 | 1,979 | 173 | 4,133 | 2 | 47.93% | 47.88% | 0.05% |
| City of Ypsilanti | 1,170 | 7,185 | 638 | 8,993 | -6015 | 13.01% | 79.90% | -66.89% |
| Ypsilanti Township | 5,425 | 19,017 | 1111 | 25,553 | -13592 | 21.23% | 74.42% | -53.19% |
| Wayne County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Brownstown Township | 3,658 | 9,580 | 443 | 13,681 | -5922 | 26.74% | 70.02% | -43.29% |
| City of Dearborn | 5,581 | 12,242 | 781 | 18,604 | -6661 | 30.00% | 65.80% | -35.80% |
| Dearborn Heights | 4,660 | 13,465 | 757 | 18,882 | -8805 | 24.68% | 71.31% | -46.63% |
| City of Flat Rock | 1,220 | 2,859 | 170 | 4,249 | -1639 | 28.71% | 67.29% | -38.57% |
| Huron Township | 2,506 | 4,504 | 347 | 7,357 | -1998 | 34.06% | 61.22% | -27.16% |
| City of Inkster | 561 | 11,059 | 270 | 11,890 | -10498 | 4.72% | 93.01% | -88.29% |
| City of Rockwood | 435 | 1,064 | 55 | 1,554 | -629 | 27.99% | 68.47% | -40.48% |
| City of Romulus | 1,605 | 9,335 | 426 | 11,366 | -7730 | 14.12% | 82.13% | -68.01% |
| Sumpter Township | 1,194 | 3,096 | 249 | 4,539 | -1902 | 26.31% | 68.21% | -41.90% |
| City of Taylor | 5,750 | 18,937 | 1294 | 25,981 | -13187 | 22.13% | 72.89% | -50.76% |
| City of Woodhaven | 1,925 | 4,265 | 227 | 6,417 | -2340 | 30.00% | 66.46% | -36.47% |
| Total | 84,502 | 231,794 | 14,335 | 330,631 | -147292 | 25.56% | 70.11% | -44.55% |
Here's the Presidential numbers broken down by county in the district. I skipped the Scio Township numbers since they were so insignificant parts of a precinct. That means these numbers are more democrat, while the 7th District numbers are slightly more republican.
Monroe County
2000 - Gore 51.07%, Bush 46.84%, 61,785 votes, -2615 vote spread
2004 - Bush 50.54%, Kerry 48.68%, 74,132 votes, 1381 vote spread
2008 - Obama 51.27%, McCain 46.92%, 73502 votes, -3322 vote spread
Washtenaw County Portion
2000 - Gore 67.84%, Bush 30.80%, 105530 votes, -35953 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 69.62%, Bush 29.29%, 124181 votes, -50083 vote spread
2008 - Obama 75.64%, McCain 22.99%, 135100 votes, -71129 vote spread
Wayne County Portion
2000 - Gore 60.12%, Bush 37.56%, 95,965 votes, -21643 vote spread
2004 - Kerry 60.29%, Bush 38.87%, 115802 votes, -24800 vote spread
2008 - Obama 64.29%, McCain 33.98%, 129,313 votes -39191 vote spread.
Here's the 2000 numbers. Surprisingly today, Bush actually won normally democrat Dearborn that year. I think Joe Lieberman may have something to do with that. It's flipped in a big way since then, going back to its roots (Dingell's represented Dearborn since 1966) after the Iraq war.
| 2000 Elections | Bush | Gore | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| Monroe County | 28,940 | 31,555 | 1290 | 61,785 | -2615 | 46.84% | 51.07% | -4.23% |
| Washtenaw County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| City of Ann Arbor | 13,473 | 36,597 | 2826 | 52,896 | -23124 | 25.47% | 69.19% | -43.72% |
| Ann Arbor Township | 1,167 | 1,491 | 79 | 2,737 | -324 | 42.64% | 54.48% | -11.84% |
| Augusta Township | 1,037 | 1,201 | 89 | 2,327 | -164 | 44.56% | 51.61% | -7.05% |
| City of Milan | 656 | 735 | 28 | 1,419 | -79 | 46.23% | 51.80% | -5.57% |
| Pittsfield Township | 5,183 | 6,833 | 390 | 12,406 | -1650 | 41.78% | 55.08% | -13.30% |
| Scio Township (4) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (7) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (8) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (9) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Superior Township | 1,704 | 2,973 | 132 | 4,809 | -1269 | 35.43% | 61.82% | -26.39% |
| York Township | 1,740 | 1,291 | 87 | 3,118 | 449 | 55.81% | 41.40% | 14.40% |
| City of Ypsilanti | 1,459 | 4,681 | 365 | 6,505 | -3222 | 22.43% | 71.96% | -49.53% |
| Ypsilanti Township | 6,088 | 12,658 | 567 | 19,313 | -6570 | 31.52% | 65.54% | -34.02% |
| Wayne County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Brownstown Township | 3,412 | 4,944 | 191 | 8,547 | -1532 | 39.92% | 57.84% | -17.92% |
| City of Dearborn | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D31 | 253 | 237 | 20 | 510 | 16 | 49.61% | 46.47% | 3.14% |
| D32 | 284 | 249 | 18 | 551 | 35 | 51.54% | 45.19% | 6.35% |
| D33 | 320 | 300 | 18 | 638 | 20 | 50.16% | 47.02% | 3.13% |
| D34 | 350 | 285 | 26 | 661 | 65 | 52.95% | 43.12% | 9.83% |
| D35 | 266 | 188 | 10 | 464 | 78 | 57.33% | 40.52% | 16.81% |
| D36 | 180 | 148 | 7 | 335 | 32 | 53.73% | 44.18% | 9.55% |
| D37 | 156 | 161 | 10 | 327 | -5 | 47.71% | 49.24% | -1.53% |
| D38 | 158 | 145 | 15 | 318 | 13 | 49.69% | 45.60% | 4.09% |
| D39 | 213 | 133 | 12 | 358 | 80 | 59.50% | 37.15% | 22.35% |
| D40 | 263 | 201 | 13 | 477 | 62 | 55.14% | 42.14% | 13.00% |
| D41 | 278 | 137 | 7 | 422 | 141 | 65.88% | 32.46% | 33.41% |
| D42 | 377 | 213 | 15 | 605 | 164 | 62.31% | 35.21% | 27.11% |
| D43 | 246 | 216 | 13 | 475 | 30 | 51.79% | 45.47% | 6.32% |
| D44 | 295 | 219 | 20 | 534 | 76 | 55.24% | 41.01% | 14.23% |
| D45 | 230 | 181 | 13 | 424 | 49 | 54.25% | 42.69% | 11.56% |
| D46 | 296 | 125 | 14 | 435 | 171 | 68.05% | 28.74% | 39.31% |
| D47 | 231 | 201 | 20 | 452 | 30 | 51.11% | 44.47% | 6.64% |
| D48 | 226 | 155 | 14 | 395 | 71 | 57.22% | 39.24% | 17.97% |
| D49 | 153 | 163 | 14 | 330 | -10 | 46.36% | 49.39% | -3.03% |
| D50 | 100 | 155 | 10 | 265 | -55 | 37.74% | 58.49% | -20.75% |
| D955 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D956 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D957 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D958 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Dearborn Heights | 11,049 | 12,574 | 757 | 24,380 | -1525 | 45.32% | 51.58% | -6.26% |
| DH 6 | -158 | -196 | -16 | (370) | 38 | 42.70% | 52.97% | -10.27% |
| DH7 | -266 | -290 | -19 | (575) | 24 | 46.26% | 50.43% | -4.17% |
| DH8 | -268 | -227 | -12 | (507) | -41 | 52.86% | 44.77% | 8.09% |
| DH9 | -181 | -227 | -15 | (423) | 46 | 42.79% | 53.66% | -10.87% |
| DH10 | -160 | -218 | -14 | (392) | 58 | 40.82% | 55.61% | -14.80% |
| DH11 | -206 | -221 | -15 | (442) | 15 | 46.61% | 50.00% | -3.39% |
| DH12 | -187 | -297 | -11 | (495) | 110 | 37.78% | 60.00% | -22.22% |
| DH13 | -267 | -262 | -12 | (541) | -5 | 49.35% | 48.43% | 0.92% |
| DH37 | -113 | -235 | -9 | (357) | 122 | 31.65% | 65.83% | -34.17% |
| DH38 | -216 | -246 | -12 | (474) | 30 | 45.57% | 51.90% | -6.33% |
| DH941 | -409 | -478 | -21 | (908) | 69 | 45.04% | 52.64% | -7.60% |
| DH942 | -20 | -38 | (58) | 18 | 34.48% | 65.52% | -31.03% | |
| City of Flat Rock | 1,259 | 1,769 | 71 | 3,099 | -510 | 40.63% | 57.08% | -16.46% |
| Huron Township | 2,602 | 3,053 | 120 | 5,775 | -451 | 45.06% | 52.87% | -7.81% |
| City of Inkster | 976 | 8,210 | 102 | 9,288 | -7234 | 10.51% | 88.39% | -77.89% |
| City of Rockwood | 609 | 870 | 42 | 1,521 | -261 | 40.04% | 57.20% | -17.16% |
| City of Romulus | 2,106 | 5,930 | 164 | 8,200 | -3824 | 25.68% | 72.32% | -46.63% |
| Sumpter Township | 1,467 | 2,563 | 69 | 4,099 | -1096 | 35.79% | 62.53% | -26.74% |
| City of Taylor | 7,718 | 13,708 | 488 | 21,914 | -5990 | 35.22% | 62.55% | -27.33% |
| City of Woodhaven | 2,427 | 3,194 | 87 | 5,708 | -767 | 42.52% | 55.96% | -13.44% |
| Total | 97,496 | 157,707 | 8,077 | 263,280 | -60211 | 37.03% | 59.90% | -22.87% |
Here's the 2004 numbers.
| 2004 Elections | Bush | Kerry | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| Monroe County | 37,470 | 36,089 | 573 | 74,132 | 1381 | 50.54% | 48.68% | 1.86% |
| Washtenaw County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| City of Ann Arbor | 13,153 | 45,117 | 700 | 58,970 | -31964 | 22.30% | 76.51% | -54.20% |
| Ann Arbor Township | 1,083 | 1,787 | 10 | 2,880 | -704 | 37.60% | 62.05% | -24.44% |
| Augusta Township | 1,411 | 1,599 | 42 | 3,052 | -188 | 46.23% | 52.39% | -6.16% |
| City of Milan | 822 | 822 | 17 | 1,661 | 0 | 49.49% | 49.49% | 0.00% |
| Pittsfield Township | 5,839 | 9,271 | 157 | 15,267 | -3432 | 38.25% | 60.73% | -22.48% |
| Scio Township (4) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (7) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (8) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (9) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Superior Township | 2,227 | 3,948 | 44 | 6,219 | -1721 | 35.81% | 63.48% | -27.67% |
| York Township | 2,367 | 1,623 | 23 | 4,013 | 744 | 58.98% | 40.44% | 18.54% |
| City of Ypsilanti | 1,581 | 6,046 | 125 | 7,752 | -4465 | 20.39% | 77.99% | -57.60% |
| Ypsilanti Township | 7,887 | 16,240 | 240 | 24,367 | -8353 | 32.37% | 66.65% | -34.28% |
| Wayne County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Brownstown Township | 5,369 | 6,916 | 114 | 12,399 | -1547 | 43.30% | 55.78% | -12.48% |
| City of Dearborn | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D31 | 323 | 343 | 8 | 674 | -20 | 47.92% | 50.89% | -2.97% |
| D32 | 363 | 266 | 10 | 639 | 97 | 56.81% | 41.63% | 15.18% |
| D33 | 286 | 278 | 2 | 566 | 8 | 50.53% | 49.12% | 1.41% |
| D34 | 366 | 341 | 11 | 718 | 25 | 50.97% | 47.49% | 3.48% |
| D35 | 288 | 231 | 3 | 522 | 57 | 55.17% | 44.25% | 10.92% |
| D36 | 283 | 168 | 6 | 457 | 115 | 61.93% | 36.76% | 25.16% |
| D37 | 380 | 241 | 1 | 622 | 139 | 61.09% | 38.75% | 22.35% |
| D38 | 264 | 237 | 5 | 506 | 27 | 52.17% | 46.84% | 5.34% |
| D39 | 295 | 253 | 7 | 555 | 42 | 53.15% | 45.59% | 7.57% |
| D40 | 245 | 214 | 6 | 465 | 31 | 52.69% | 46.02% | 6.67% |
| D41 | 263 | 212 | 5 | 480 | 51 | 54.79% | 44.17% | 10.63% |
| D42 | 229 | 234 | 10 | 473 | -5 | 48.41% | 49.47% | -1.06% |
| D43 | 207 | 280 | 2 | 489 | -73 | 42.33% | 57.26% | -14.93% |
| D44 | 255 | 364 | 10 | 629 | -109 | 40.54% | 57.87% | -17.33% |
| D45 | 233 | 199 | 7 | 439 | 34 | 53.08% | 45.33% | 7.74% |
| D46 | 256 | 252 | 11 | 519 | 4 | 49.33% | 48.55% | 0.77% |
| D47 | 250 | 262 | 9 | 521 | -12 | 47.98% | 50.29% | -2.30% |
| D48 | 237 | 286 | 9 | 532 | -49 | 44.55% | 53.76% | -9.21% |
| D49 | 216 | 260 | 5 | 481 | -44 | 44.91% | 54.05% | -9.15% |
| D50 | 212 | 235 | 7 | 454 | -23 | 46.70% | 51.76% | -5.07% |
| D955 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D956 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D957 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D958 | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Dearborn Heights | 11,128 | 14,902 | 285 | 26,315 | -3774 | 42.29% | 56.63% | -14.34% |
| DH 6 | -148 | -257 | -1 | (406) | 109 | 36.45% | 63.30% | -26.85% |
| DH7 | -288 | -380 | -13 | (681) | 92 | 42.29% | 55.80% | -13.51% |
| DH8 | -238 | -274 | -8 | (520) | 36 | 45.77% | 52.69% | -6.92% |
| DH9 | -195 | -232 | -8 | (435) | 37 | 44.83% | 53.33% | -8.51% |
| DH10 | -152 | -237 | -11 | (400) | 85 | 38.00% | 59.25% | -21.25% |
| DH11 | -272 | -301 | -14 | (587) | 29 | 46.34% | 51.28% | -4.94% |
| DH12 | -243 | -336 | -9 | (588) | 93 | 41.33% | 57.14% | -15.82% |
| DH13 | -253 | -263 | -4 | (520) | 10 | 48.65% | 50.58% | -1.92% |
| DH37 | -108 | -263 | -3 | (374) | 155 | 28.88% | 70.32% | -41.44% |
| DH38 | -208 | -282 | -11 | (501) | 74 | 41.52% | 56.29% | -14.77% |
| DH941 | -82 | -119 | -3 | (204) | 37 | 40.20% | 58.33% | -18.14% |
| DH942 | -602 | -776 | -17 | (1,395) | 174 | 43.15% | 55.63% | -12.47% |
| City of Flat Rock | 1,917 | 2,233 | 37 | 4,187 | -316 | 45.78% | 53.33% | -7.55% |
| Huron Township | 3,578 | 3,417 | 53 | 7,048 | 161 | 50.77% | 48.48% | 2.28% |
| City of Inkster | 1,254 | 9,729 | 51 | 11,034 | -8475 | 11.36% | 88.17% | -76.81% |
| City of Rockwood | 759 | 948 | 10 | 1,717 | -189 | 44.21% | 55.21% | -11.01% |
| City of Romulus | 2,848 | 7,563 | 80 | 10,491 | -4715 | 27.15% | 72.09% | -44.94% |
| Sumpter Township | 1,979 | 2,963 | 38 | 4,980 | -984 | 39.74% | 59.50% | -19.76% |
| City of Taylor | 10,444 | 16,377 | 225 | 27,046 | -5933 | 38.62% | 60.55% | -21.94% |
| City of Woodhaven | 3,076 | 3,330 | 49 | 6,455 | -254 | 47.65% | 51.59% | -3.93% |
| Total | 118,854 | 192,356 | 2,905 | 314,115 | -73502 | 37.84% | 61.24% | -23.40% |
Here's the 2008 numbers.
| 2008 Elections | McCain | Obama | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| Monroe County | 35,858 | 39,180 | 1384 | 76,422 | -3322 | 46.92% | 51.27% | -4.35% |
| Washtenaw County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| City of Ann Arbor | 10,712 | 51,587 | 836 | 63,135 | -40875 | 16.97% | 81.71% | -64.74% |
| Ann Arbor Township | 829 | 1,836 | 23 | 2,688 | -1007 | 30.84% | 68.30% | -37.46% |
| Augusta Township | 1,489 | 1,979 | 78 | 3,546 | -490 | 41.99% | 55.81% | -13.82% |
| City of Milan | 802 | 1,151 | 31 | 1,984 | -349 | 40.42% | 58.01% | -17.59% |
| Pittsfield Township | 5,042 | 11,342 | 210 | 16,594 | -6300 | 30.38% | 68.35% | -37.97% |
| Scio Township (4) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (7) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (8) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Scio Township (9) | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Superior Township | 2,048 | 4,951 | 109 | 7,108 | -2903 | 28.81% | 69.65% | -40.84% |
| York Township | 2,313 | 1,934 | 56 | 4,303 | 379 | 53.75% | 44.95% | 8.81% |
| City of Ypsilanti | 1,306 | 7,828 | 170 | 9,304 | -6522 | 14.04% | 84.14% | -70.10% |
| Ypsilanti Township | 6,517 | 19,579 | 342 | 26,438 | -13062 | 24.65% | 74.06% | -49.41% |
| Wayne County: | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| Brownstown Township | 5,373 | 8,668 | 138 | 14,179 | -3295 | 37.89% | 61.13% | -23.24% |
| City of Dearborn | - | 0 | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | #DIV/0! | |||
| D31 | 212 | 423 | 8 | 643 | -211 | 32.97% | 65.79% | -32.81% |
| D32 | 280 | 389 | 14 | 683 | -109 | 41.00% | 56.95% | -15.96% |
| D33 | 230 | 350 | 10 | 590 | -120 | 38.98% | 59.32% | -20.34% |
| D34 | 402 | 581 | 22 | 1,005 | -179 | 40.00% | 57.81% | -17.81% |
| D35 | 261 | 351 | 10 | 622 | -90 | 41.96% | 56.43% | -14.47% |
| D36 | 269 | 370 | 16 | 655 | -101 | 41.07% | 56.49% | -15.42% |
| D37 | 250 | 306 | 12 | 568 | -56 | 44.01% | 53.87% | -9.86% |
| D38 | 300 | 301 | 11 | 612 | -1 | 49.02% | 49.18% | -0.16% |
| D39 | 316 | 360 | 9 | 685 | -44 | 46.13% | 52.55% | -6.42% |
| D40 | 286 | 302 | 8 | 596 | -16 | 47.99% | 50.67% | -2.68% |
| D41 | 415 | 381 | 9 | 805 | 34 | 51.55% | 47.33% | 4.22% |
| D42 | 276 | 344 | 10 | 630 | -68 | 43.81% | 54.60% | -10.79% |
| D43 | 365 | 387 | 20 | 772 | -22 | 47.28% | 50.13% | -2.85% |
| D44 | 441 | 471 | 24 | 936 | -30 | 47.12% | 50.32% | -3.21% |
| D45 | 373 | 598 | 27 | 998 | -225 | 37.37% | 59.92% | -22.55% |
| D46 | 355 | 540 | 16 | 911 | -185 | 38.97% | 59.28% | -20.31% |
| D47 | 269 | 390 | 17 | 676 | -121 | 39.79% | 57.69% | -17.90% |
| D48 | 281 | 373 | 9 | 663 | -92 | 42.38% | 56.26% | -13.88% |
| D49 | 380 | 574 | 31 | 985 | -194 | 38.58% | 58.27% | -19.70% |
| D50 | 277 | 490 | 18 | 785 | -213 | 35.29% | 62.42% | -27.13% |
| D955 | 630 | 580 | 16 | 1,226 | 50 | 51.39% | 47.31% | 4.08% |
| D956 | 544 | 532 | 12 | 1,088 | 12 | 50.00% | 48.90% | 1.10% |
| D957 | 573 | 655 | 27 | 1,255 | -82 | 45.66% | 52.19% | -6.53% |
| D958 | 465 | 491 | 19 | 975 | -26 | 47.69% | 50.36% | -2.67% |
| Dearborn Heights | 9,466 | 16,095 | 543 | 26,104 | -6629 | 36.26% | 61.66% | -25.39% |
| DH 6 | -96 | -313 | -5 | (414) | 217 | 23.19% | 75.60% | -52.42% |
| DH7 | -242 | -413 | -9 | (664) | 171 | 36.45% | 62.20% | -25.75% |
| DH8 | -196 | -281 | -7 | (484) | 85 | 40.50% | 58.06% | -17.56% |
| DH9 | -142 | -282 | -8 | (432) | 140 | 32.87% | 65.28% | -32.41% |
| DH10 | -126 | -216 | -10 | (352) | 90 | 35.80% | 61.36% | -25.57% |
| DH11 | -185 | -321 | -10 | (516) | 136 | 35.85% | 62.21% | -26.36% |
| DH12 | -180 | -331 | -13 | (524) | 151 | 34.35% | 63.17% | -28.82% |
| DH13 | -199 | -280 | -8 | (487) | 81 | 40.86% | 57.49% | -16.63% |
| DH37 | -86 | -305 | -7 | (398) | 219 | 21.61% | 76.63% | -55.03% |
| DH38 | -162 | -278 | -20 | (460) | 116 | 35.22% | 60.43% | -25.22% |
| DH941 | -71 | -144 | -4 | (219) | 73 | 32.42% | 65.75% | -33.33% |
| DH942 | -697 | -804 | -36 | (1,537) | 107 | 45.35% | 52.31% | -6.96% |
| City of Flat Rock | 1,807 | 2,504 | 101 | 4,412 | -697 | 40.96% | 56.75% | -15.80% |
| Huron Township | 3,669 | 3,852 | 176 | 7,697 | -183 | 47.67% | 50.05% | -2.38% |
| City of Inkster | 699 | 11,340 | 72 | 12,111 | -10641 | 5.77% | 93.63% | -87.86% |
| City of Rockwood | 678 | 900 | 39 | 1,617 | -222 | 41.93% | 55.66% | -13.73% |
| City of Romulus | 2,404 | 9,202 | 164 | 11,770 | -6798 | 20.42% | 78.18% | -57.76% |
| Sumpter Township | 1,696 | 2,961 | 84 | 4,741 | -1265 | 35.77% | 62.46% | -26.68% |
| City of Taylor | 9,224 | 17,264 | 563 | 27,051 | -8040 | 34.10% | 63.82% | -29.72% |
| City of Woodhaven | 2,863 | 3,781 | 110 | 6,754 | -918 | 42.39% | 55.98% | -13.59% |
| Total | 110,863 | 224,505 | 5,467 | 340,835 | -113642 | 32.53% | 65.87% | -33.34% |
The farm club has mostly democrat areas, but not all of them are.
St. Senate 18th - Covers the City of Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor Twp, Augusta Twp, City of Chelsea, Dexter Twp, Freedom Twp, Lima Twp, Lyndon Twp, Northfield Twp, a small portion of Pittsfield Twp, Salem Twp, Scio Twp, Sharon Twp, Superior Twp, Sylvan Twp, City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti Twp in Washtenaw County. This is one of the most democrat state senate seats in the state. Most of this is in the 15th District (Dingell), but some of this is in the 7th.
| St Senate 18th | GOP | Dem | ||||||
| 06 - Kopinski/Brater | 29,075 | 72,774 | 3 | 101,852 | -43699 | 28.55% | 71.45% | -42.90% |
| 02 - Darr/Brater | 27,726 | 52,912 | 2635 | 83,273 | -25186 | 33.30% | 63.54% | -30.25% |
St. Senate 17th - Covers all of Monroe County, Grass Lake, Leoni, Norvell, and Summit Twps in Jackson County, and Bridgwater Twp, Lodi Twp, Manchester Twp, city of Milan, Pittsfield Twp, City of Saline, Saline Twp, and York Twp in Washtenaw County. This is another swing district. Monroe County is a swing county that has gone democrat more than republican. The rest of the area swings as well, although Washtenaw County portion is more democrat and the Jackson County portion more republican, although neither overwhelmingly so (Jackson thanks to Leoni, Washtenaw, thanks to everything but Pittsfield).The Jackson County and some of the Washtenaw County portion is in the 7th district. The rest is in the 15th. Randy Richardville is the incumbent who won in the tough 2006 year.
| St Senate 17th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | |||||
| 06 - Richardville/Schockman | 52113 | 45445 | 97,558 | 6668 | 53.42% | 46.58% | 6.83% | |
| 02 - Hammerstrom/LeMasters | 44773 | 30262 | 75,035 | 14511 | 59.67% | 40.33% | 19.34% | |
St Senate 8th - Covers Allen Park, Ecorse, Lincoln Park, Melvindale, Riverview, Romulus, Southgate, Taylor, Wayne, and Wyandotte in Wayne County. This is one of the two main downriver districts. It is solidly democrat with only Allen Park occasionally competitive. Ray Basham is a termed out incumbent most famous for the big government smoking ban.
| St Senate 8th | GOP | Dem | 3rd party | |||||
| 06 - Kalsic/Basham | 21,727 | 58,501 | 2197 | 82,425 | -36774 | 26.36% | 70.97% | -44.62% |
| 02 - Montelauro/Basham | 22,128 | 43,874 | 2312 | 68,314 | -21746 | 32.39% | 64.22% | -31.83% |
St Senate 7th - Covers Belleville, Brownstown Twp, Canton Twp, City of Flat Rock, Gibralter, Grosse Ile Twp, Huron Twp, City of Northville (Wayne County side), Northville Twp, City of Plymouth, Plymouth Twp, City of Rockwood, Sumpter Twp, City of Trenton, Van Buren Twp, and City of Woodhaven in Wayne County. This is a swing district, if not slightly democrat leaning. Bruce Patterson had two tough wins and is termed out. Patterson won, by cutting into the normal GOP losses in the downriver portions of the district, while winning Canton, Plymouth Twp and Northville. This will be a major battle in 2010. It's been a battleground district for years, as was its similar district pre-redistricting represented by Lorne Bennett.
| St Senate 7th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | |||||||
| 06 - Patterson/Slavens | 59,647 | 56,156 | 115,803 | 3491 | 51.51% | 48.49% | 3.01% | |||
| 02 - Patterson/Mans | 52,435 | 40,675 | 93,110 | 11760 | 56.32% | 43.68% | 12.63% | |||
St Senate 5th - Dearborn Heights, Detroit, and Inkster - This is a minority majority district based in Detroit. Dearborn Heights separates black majority Inkster and Detroit, so it's included. Detroit itself is the most democrat city over 100,000 people in the country. Tupac Hunter is the incumbent.
| St Senate 5th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 06 - Malhalab/Hunter | 8,164 | 56,252 | 1510 | 65,926 | -48088 | 12.38% | 85.33% | -72.94% |
| 02 - Patrick/Leland | 10,334 | 49,780 | 60,114 | -39446 | 17.19% | 82.81% | -65.62% |
St Senate 3rd - Covers Dearborn, Detroit, and River Rouge - This is also a minority majority district based in Detroit. Dearborn is about 1/3 of the district and is outvoted by Detroit. Irma Clark-Coleman is the incumbent and is termed out. .
| St Senate 3rd | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 06 - Sophiea/Clark-Coleman | 12,353 | 58,063 | 70,416 | -45710 | 17.54% | 82.46% | -64.91% | |
| 02 - Hernandez/Clark | 12,855 | 53,395 | 3 | 66,253 | -40540 | 19.40% | 80.59% | -61.19% |
St Rep 56th - Covers Ash Township, Berlin Township, Exeter Township, Frenchtown Township, Ida Township, La Salle Township, London Township, City of Luna Pier, City of Monroe, Monroe Township, and Raisinville Township in Monroe County. This is a swing district with a slight democrat leaning, although Randy Richardville has won here on several occasions. Kate Ebli is the incumbent.
| St Rep 56th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Dahm/Ebli | 15,459 | 28,495 | 1224 | 45,178 | -13036 | 34.22% | 63.07% | -28.85% |
| 06 - Manor/Ebli | 16,133 | 18,468 | 34,601 | -2335 | 46.63% | 53.37% | -6.75% | |
| 04 - Manor/Kerhl | 20,671 | 21,554 | 1662 | 43,887 | -883 | 47.10% | 49.11% | -2.01% |
| 02 - Richardville/Sacks | 17,357 | 9,004 | 26,361 | 8353 | 65.84% | 34.16% | 31.69% |
St Rep 55th - Covers Bedford Township, Dundee Township, Erie Township, City of Milan, Milan Township, City of Petersburg, Summerfield Township, and Whiteford Township in Monroe County, and City of Milan, Pittsfield Township, One precinct in Saline Township, and York Township in Washtenaw County. This is a swing district with the more Republican areas of Monroe County, and democrat Pittsfield Township in Washtenaw County. Pittsfield's leanings alone can flip this seat as it happened in 2004.
| St Rep 55th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Moynihan/Angerer | 17,054 | 33,236 | 50,290 | -16182 | 33.91% | 66.09% | -32.18% | |
| 06 - Milosch/Angerer | 13,208 | 23,409 | 36,617 | -10201 | 36.07% | 63.93% | -27.86% | |
| 04 - Milosch/Angerer | 23,980 | 24,299 | 48,279 | -319 | 49.67% | 50.33% | -0.66% | |
| 02 - Milosch/Hauser-Hurley | 14,287 | 12,679 | 26,966 | 1608 | 52.98% | 47.02% | 5.96% |
St Rep 54th - Covers Augusta Township, Salem Township, Superior Township, the City of Ypsilanti, and Ypsilanti township in Washtenaw County. This is a solidly democrat district based in Ypsi.
| St Rep 54th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Banks/Smith | 12,283 | 33,509 | 1319 | 47,111 | -21226 | 26.07% | 71.13% | -45.06% |
| 06 - Banks/Smith | 9,036 | 22,250 | 1402 | 32,688 | -13214 | 27.64% | 68.07% | -40.42% |
| 04 - Myers/Smith | 12,698 | 28,568 | 860 | 42,126 | -15870 | 30.14% | 67.82% | -37.67% |
| 02 - Trent/Jamnick | 8,112 | 17,888 | 26,000 | -9776 | 31.20% | 68.80% | -37.60% |
St Rep 53rd - Covers most of Ann Arbor, part of Ann Arbor Township, and small parts of Pittsfield and Scio Townships in Washtenaw County - This is one of the two most liberal districts in the state.
| St Rep 53rd | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Brewton/Warren | 8,282 | 37,845 | 2200 | 48,327 | -29563 | 17.14% | 78.31% | -61.17% |
| 06 - Sheagren/Warren | 5,898 | 26,985 | 847 | 33,730 | -21087 | 17.49% | 80.00% | -62.52% |
| 04 - Sheagren/Kolb | 9,127 | 36,745 | 45,872 | -27618 | 19.90% | 80.10% | -60.21% | |
| 02 - Milroy/Kolb | 6,279 | 22,254 | 28,533 | -15975 | 22.01% | 77.99% | -55.99% |
St Rep 52nd - Covers Northeastern Ann Arbor, most of Ann Arbor Twp, Bridgwater Twp, City of Chelsea, Dexter Twp, Freedom Twp, Lima Twp, Lodi Twp, Lyndon Twp, Manchester Twp, Northfield Twp, City of Saline, Scio Twp, Sharon Twp, Sylvan Twp, and Webster Twp. This was created as a swing district, but does have some democrat leanings, especially within the last 6 years. Gene DeRossett won the district in 2002 by winning big in the far western townships as a two term incumbent (of a less democrat district). Pam Byrnes won the 2004 open seat and has held it since. She's termed out. The open seat I'd say favors a democrat, but the Republicans have their best candidate running in Mark Ouimet, who as a county commissioner, somehow still wins in Scio Twp. This will be one to watch.
| St Rep 52nd | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Lielbriedis/Byrnes | 19,180 | 35,957 | 1982 | 57,119 | -16777 | 33.58% | 62.95% | -29.37% |
| 06 - Brown/Byrnes | 16,747 | 28,046 | 44,793 | -11299 | 37.39% | 62.61% | -25.22% | |
| 04 - Yekulis/Byrnes | 24,669 | 29,740 | 54,409 | -5071 | 45.34% | 54.66% | -9.32% | |
| 02 - DeRossett/Byrnes | 19,579 | 17,091 | 36,670 | 2488 | 53.39% | 46.61% | 6.78% |
State Rep 23rd - Covers Brownstown Township, Flat Rock, Gibralter, Grosse Ile Township, Huron Township, Rockwood, Sumpter Township, and Woodhaven in Wayne County. This is a slight democrat leaning district, but competitive some years. It was very close in 2002.
| St Rep 23rd | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - DeBlois/Kennedy | 18,376 | 26,987 | 45,363 | -8611 | 40.51% | 59.49% | -18.98% | |
| 06 - Bostic/Law | 12,677 | 21,636 | 34,313 | -8959 | 36.95% | 63.05% | -26.11% | |
| 04 - Vollenweider/Law | 19,202 | 24,004 | 727 | 43,933 | -4802 | 43.71% | 54.64% | -10.93% |
| 02 - Jones/Law | 13,171 | 13,430 | 552 | 27,153 | -259 | 48.51% | 49.46% | -0.95% |
State Rep 22nd - Covers Romulus and Taylor in Wayne County - Solidly democrat district covering the airport area. Heavily union and airport workers.
| St Rep 22nd | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - McNeill/Geiss | 6,780 | 25,676 | 3919 | 36,375 | -18896 | 18.64% | 70.59% | -51.95% |
| 06 - Armstrong/Hopgood | 5,882 | 19,260 | 895 | 26,037 | -13378 | 22.59% | 73.97% | -51.38% |
| 04 - Kalsic/Hopgood | 8,863 | 24,375 | 1807 | 35,045 | -15512 | 25.29% | 69.55% | -44.26% |
| 02 - Vaughan/Hopgood | 5,696 | 14,042 | 657 | 20,395 | -8346 | 27.93% | 68.85% | -40.92% |
State Rep 16th - Covers part of Allen Park, part of Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Inkster - Solidly democrat. All areas here lean democrat, with Inkster anchoring this seat.
| St Rep 16th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Smith/Constan | 9,133 | 28,195 | 37,328 | -19062 | 24.47% | 75.53% | -51.07% | |
| 06 - DeLozier/Constan | 7,002 | 19,346 | 26,348 | -12344 | 26.58% | 73.42% | -46.85% | |
| 04 - Lauster/Plakas | 9,259 | 25,756 | 1626 | 36,641 | -16497 | 25.27% | 70.29% | -45.02% |
| 02 - Homeier/Plakas | 5,595 | 16,693 | 913 | 23,201 | -11098 | 24.12% | 71.95% | -47.83% |
State Rep 15th - Covers most of Dearborn - Strongly leans democrat, although Gary Woronchak won as a republican before switching parties. Dearborn long leaned Democrat being Dingell's home base since the 1960's. Bush won it in 2000, but Iraq shifted Dearborn about 10% more D at the top of the ticket.
| St Rep 15th | GOP | Dem | 3rd Party | Total | Diff. | GOP% | Dem% | Diff% |
| 08 - Saionz/Polidori | 8,292 | 28,606 | 36,898 | -20314 | 22.47% | 77.53% | -55.05% | |
| 06 - Ghasham/Polidori | 6,755 | 21,391 | 28,146 | -14636 | 24.00% | 76.00% | -52.00% | |
| 04 - Thomas/Polidori | 13,063 | 23,923 | 36,986 | -10860 | 35.32% | 64.68% | -29.36% | |
| 02 - Woronchak | 19,227 | 19,227 | 19227 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% |
Overall, this is a seat that did its job in 2002. It combined the Lynn Rivers base in Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti with Dingell's base in Southern Wayne County and Monroe County in an attempt to knock out Lynn Rivers or John Dingell. It did exactly that. It is a very difficult district for the GOP to win, although Engler carried it in 1998. Dingell's a hard worker, and usually doesn't take elections for granted. It depends on whether the bleeding can be stopped in the Ann Arbor area bringing it back at least to its 1990's era numbers (more the burbs), carrying Monroe big, and finally breaking through downriver with Inkster, Romulus, and a lot of the democrat base staying home. It's easy to say, and difficult to do, as this seat was gerrymandered to put two different democrat bases together, without giving Dingell's home to the Conyers district.
Update 5-18-2010 - I'm surprised there's a 5 way primary on the GOP side considering this district's history. Two of the candidates are in Ypsi, and three are in Wayne County. Maybe something is brewing here. At worst case scenario, maybe we can flip the Monroe districts and one of the downriver seats with some hard work.
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